Expansion of Ensemble-based Sensitivity to TC Hazard Forecasts

EXPANSION OF ENSEMBLE-BASED SENSITIVITY TO TC HAZARD FORECASTS PURPOSE FOR THE AWARD: TO EXPAND UPON THE QUASI-OPERATIONAL ENSEMBLE-BASED PRODUCT THAT HAS BEEN EMPLOYED BY NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC) FORECASTERS TO DETERMINE THE LOCATIONS WHERE SUPPLEMENTAL OBSERVATIONS COULD REDUCE MODEL UNCERTAINTY IN TC TRACK, TO INTENSITY, MAXIMUM WIND AND PRECIPITATION. ACTIVITIES: IMPLEMENT TIME-INTEGRATED INTENSITY, WIND AND PRECIPITATION EOF IDENTIFY PROPER SENSITIVE FIELDS FOR INTENSITY, WIND, AND PRECIPITATION METRICS WITH RETROSPECTIVE CASES ENSURE THAT NEW METRICS WORK WITHIN FLIGHT PLANNING SOFTWARE PROVIDE ON-DEMAND TARGET INFORMATION BASED ON INTENSITY, WIND, AND PRECIPITATION METRICS TO NHC FORECASTERS DEVELOP COMBINED TRACK-INTENSITY, AND TRACK-INTENSITY-WIND-PRECIPITATION FORECAST METRIC PRODUCTS REFINE SENSITIVITY GUIDANCE OUTPUT BASED ON FEEDBACK FROM NHC POINT OF CONTACT PROVIDE ON-DEMAND TARGET INFORMATION BASED ON INTENSITY, WIND, AND PRECIPITATION METRICS TO NHC