Abstract
For the classical continuous-time quickest change-point detection problem it is shown that the randomized Shiryaev–Roberts–Pollak procedure is asymptotically nearly minimax-optimal (in the sense of Pollak [Ann. Statist., 13 (1985), pp. 206–227]) in the class of randomized procedures with vanishingly small false alarm risk. The proof is explicit in that all of the relevant performance characteristics are found analytically and in a closed form. The rate of convergence to the (un-known) optimum is elucidated as well. The obtained optimality result is a one-order improvement of that previously obtained by Burnaev, Feinberg, and Shiryaev [Theory Probab. Appl., 53 (2009), pp. 519–536] for the very same problem.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 617-631 |
| Number of pages | 15 |
| Journal | Theory of Probability and its Applications |
| Volume | 62 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 2018 |
Keywords
- Minimax optimality
- Optimal stopping
- Quasi-stationary distribution
- Roberts procedure
- Sequential change-point detection
- Shiryaev
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