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Compositional Constraints are Vital for Atmospheric PM2.5Source Attribution over India

  • Sidhant J. Pai
  • , Colette L. Heald
  • , Hugh Coe
  • , James Brooks
  • , Mark W. Shephard
  • , Enrico Dammers
  • , Joshua S. Apte
  • , Gan Luo
  • , Fangqun Yu
  • , Christopher D. Holmes
  • , Chandra Venkataraman
  • , Pankaj Sadavarte
  • , Kushal Tibrewal
  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology
  • University of Manchester
  • Environment and Climate Change Canada
  • Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research
  • University of California at Berkeley
  • Florida State University
  • Indian Institute of Technology Bombay
  • Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - German Research Centre for Geosciences

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

India experiences some of the highest levels of ambient PM2.5 aerosol pollution in the world. However, due to the historical dearth of in situ measurements, chemical transport models that are often used to estimate PM2.5 exposure over the region are rarely evaluated. Here, we conduct a novel model comparison with speciated airborne measurements of fine aerosol, revealing large biases in the ammonium and nitrate simulations. To address this, we incorporate process-level changes to the model and use satellite observations from the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) and the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) to constrain ammonia and nitrogen oxide emissions. The resulting simulation demonstrates significantly lower bias (NMBModified: 0.19; NMBBase: 0.61) when validated against the airborne aerosol measurements, particularly for the nitrate (NMBModified: 0.08; NMBBase: 1.64) and ammonium simulation (NMBModified: 0.49; NMBBase: 0.90). We use this validated simulation to estimate a population-weighted annual PM2.5 exposure of 61.4 μg m-3, with the RCO (residential, commercial, and other) and energy sectors contributing 21% and 19%, respectively, resulting in an estimated 961,000 annual PM2.5-attributable deaths. Regional exposure and sectoral source contributions differ meaningfully in the improved simulation (compared to the baseline simulation). Our work highlights the critical role of speciated observational constraints in developing accurate model-based PM2.5 aerosol source attribution for health assessments and air quality management in India.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2432-2445
Number of pages14
JournalACS Earth and Space Chemistry
Volume6
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 20 2022

Keywords

  • India
  • PMsource attribution
  • air pollution
  • satellite measurements
  • speciated aerosols

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