India in 2024 Modi Weakened, but Still Dominant

In 2024, India’s ascent in global politics and economics continued. Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party retained its status as the dominant force in India’s politics, reaffirmed by Modi’s election to his third term as prime minister following parliamentary elections. Yet 2024 was also characterized by overreach by Modi’s government and its consequences. These setbacks were tangible but hardly transformational. Modi and his coalition will have a smaller parliamentary majority, which will keep easy constitutional change out of reach. Troubles in India’s domestic periphery, especially Manipur, as well as its near abroad, notably in Bangladesh, complicate Indian national security policy. Turbulence in the US–India relationship has required diplomatic attention, even as it is likely to prove transitory.