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Mortality incidence for SARS-COV-2 non-survivor infected in Colombia: A potential vaccination priority guide based on Comorbidities

  • Milton Soto-Ferrari
  • , Odette Chams-Anturi
  • , Juan P. Escorcia-Caballero
  • , Daniel Romero-Rodriguez
  • , Julio Daza-Escorcia
  • , Blas Ferrari-Padilla

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 vaccination plan development in Colombia, set to begin in February 2021, included a comprehensive assessment of the spread to set population priorities in rank-ordered phases. In Phase 3 of the plan, populations between 16 and 59 years with a set of specific comorbidities will be vaccinated. Our study aims to evaluate the comorbidities incidence in the survival probability to assess the population at most risk if infected and assist in the assignation on this phase. In this study, multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curves were performed to determine risk predictors of mortality for 610 reports of up to 15-day decay non-survivor SARS-CoV-2 infected in Colombia. After implementation, higher hazard ratios were associated with diabetes. Kaplan-Meier curves indicate that patients with diabetes that have an older age and hypertension are at a higher risk of earlier death.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, 2021
PublisherIEOM Society
Pages2425-2431
Number of pages7
ISBN (Print)9781792361258
StatePublished - 2021
Event2nd South American Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, IEOM 2021 - Sao Paulo, Brazil
Duration: Apr 5 2021Apr 8 2021

Publication series

NameProceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management

Conference

Conference2nd South American Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, IEOM 2021
Country/TerritoryBrazil
CitySao Paulo
Period04/5/2104/8/21

Keywords

  • Cox regression
  • Kaplan-Meier
  • Patient comorbidities
  • SARS-CoV-2

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