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The utility of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II scores for prediction of mortality among intensive care unit (ICU) and Non-ICU patients with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia

  • Vanessa Stevens
  • , Thomas P. Lodise
  • , Brian Tsuji
  • , Meagan Stringham
  • , Jill Butterfield
  • , Elizabeth Dodds Ashley
  • , Kristen Brown
  • , Alan Forrest
  • , Jack Brown
  • SUNY Buffalo
  • University of Rochester
  • Albany College of Pharmacy
  • Institute for Clinical Pharmacodynamics, Inc.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

28 Scopus citations

Abstract

objective. Bloodstream infections due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) have been associated with significant risk of in-hospital mortality. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score was developed and validated for use among intensive care unit (ICU) patients, but its utility among non-ICU patients is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the ability of APACHE II to predict death at multiple time points among ICU and non-ICU patients with MRSA bacteremia. design. Retrospective cohort study. participants. Secondary analysis of data from 200 patients with MRSA bacteremia at 2 hospitals. methods. Logistic regression models were constructed to predict overall in-hospital mortality and mortality at 48 hours, 7 days, 14 days, and 30 days using APACHE II scores separately in ICU and non-ICU patients. The performance of APACHE II scores was compared with age adjustment alone among all patients. Discriminatory ability was assessed using the c-statistic and was compared at each time point using x 2 tests. Model calibration was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. results. APACHE II was a significant predictor of death at all time points in both ICU and non-ICU patients. Discrimination was high in all models, with c-statistics ranging from 0.72 to 0.84, and was similar between ICU and non-ICU patients at all time points. APACHE II scores significantly improved the prediction of overall and 48-hour mortality compared with age adjustment alone. conclusions. The APACHE II score may be a valid tool to control for confounding or for the prediction of death among ICU and non-ICU patients with MRSA bacteremia.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)558-564
Number of pages7
JournalInfection Control and Hospital Epidemiology
Volume33
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2012

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